It is possible to argue, credibly (albeit amid much debate), that if Barack Obama wins re-election on November 6th, the first person he ought to thank is John Kasich.
Polls suggest that, despite the hyperventilated efforts of the Romney campaign to generate some “big mo” after the Denver debate, Obama is still ahead in vital Ohio.
It is also fair to suggest that the election on November 6th in the fifty states is rather unnecessary. You could just hold it in Ohio because that is the only state that matters. I exaggerate for clarity.
And why is Obama still ahead in the [insert nickname] state? (I jest – it’s the Buckeye state. I knew that. Of course.)
Well the economy there is doing pretty well. Some may say that Barack Obama has had a role in that success. Others, particularly John Kasich, might say that John Kasich caused the success. The voters don’t seem to be choosy and are currently, by a modest margin, favouring Barack Obama.
It may be rather galling for Mitt Romney to wake up on 7th November or, indeed, 27th December (if there is another hanging chads incident), to realise that he lost the election because a Republican made sure that his state’s economy recovered from the recession.
* Paul Walter is Monday Editor of Liberal Democrat Voice, a LibDem activist in Newbury, Berkshire and blogs at Liberal Burblings