It strikes me that there may well be three tragedies, with arguably some irony about them, which may follow a potential leave vote on Thursday.

1. The very people who are tending to vote leave, the “non-affluent” C2DEs, are the very people who will suffer the most from the recession which, IMHO, will surely follow a leave vote as night follows day. And there is vast expert back-up for that statement – I won’t list them for the nth time.

2. The very people who are tending to vote leave are the people who are loudly proud of the United Kingdom. They want their country back. Well, they will get their country back – minus Scotland. It takes a strange situation for Alex Salmond to sound statesmanlike, but sound statesmanlike he did yesterday on RTE Irish radio. He said that if the people of Scotland vote overwhelmingly to stay in the EU, which they are very likely to do, and the people of England “in an act of collective madness” vote to leave, and carry the vote overall for the UK, then basically the people of England will be “bouncing” Scotland into another independence referendum which, Alex Salmond reckons, will result in Scottish independence.

3. The very people who are tending to vote leave are loudly proud of the pound sterling. Well, following a leave vote, the pound sterling is highly likely to crash in value and reach parity with the Euro. So, after years of protecting the value of our pound, we’ll be joining the Euro down at its level. Nice job.

And before anyone accuses me of scaremongering, I’d point out that 1 and 3 certainly have endless back-up from independent experts. If you want scaremongering see the “Breaking Point” poster and the “80 million Turks” trope.

* Paul Walter is a Liberal Democrat activist in Newbury and West Berkshire. As part of the Liberal Democrat Voice team he helps with photos and moderation on the site, as well as occsionally contributing articles. He blogs at Liberal Burblings.